29 Aug 2008

Bought Titon Holdings at 33p

I bought Titon Holdings (TON) today. They are a leading UK supplier of Ventilation Systems and Window Hardware.

Notable features were low debt, with current assets (9M) enough to pay of all liabilities (2.7M), leaving 6.3M and a current market cap of 3.1M. So you could buy the whole company, close it down and take the cash in the bank (almost 2M), sell all the stock and collect receivables and make a profit.

The share price has floated around 100p for the last decade, but since the credit crunch and related housing slowdown their share price has collapsed to around 30p. The only reason I can see for this looking at the company reports is that profits halved in the last year and general market sentiment against the housing related sectors.

The plan is to sit back and wait for the cycle to turn and/or management to make the required changes and sell out above 60p. If that hasn't happened in 5 years I'll sell up and move on.

The details were:

Titon Holdings bought at 33p, market cap 3.1M, PB 0.3
13 Aug 2008

Value Share Selection

My share buying criteria are slowly taking shape, based on extensive back testing as reported in "What has worked in investing" by Tweedy, Browne Company LLC, plus some testing of my own using DigitalLook's Market Stars system and my reading of Ben Graham.

I'm a simple chap so I like simple rules. I start by sorting the FTSE all share plus the FTSE Fledgling indices by price/book. I select those in the bottom 10%. Then I sort those by market cap and select the smallest 10%. Then I exclude those with a dividend yield less than 1%. Finally I sort by price/book again. Basically this gives me small cheap shares that are still paying a dividend. Generally I don't like to buy shares with price/book over 0.5.
7 Aug 2008

Bought Pendragon at 8p and Ennstone at 16.47p

I started my toe dipping exercise into value investing this month. The plan is to start out light and only buy once a month or when I sell something. I want to hold up to 20 stocks and also use the sliding cash system I thought about last time where the cash % is twice the average PE of the market.

The general idea is to buy stocks from the FTSE All Share index which fall in the lowest 20% market cap of the bottom 10% price/book. So if there are 500 companies in the index then I pick the 50 with the lowest PB and then the smallest 10 of those by market cap.

Many previous studies have shown that these stocks can outperform the market over the next few years after purchase. The gist is that markets are not 100% efficient and that they over do the gloom on certain stocks or just don't value them fairly.

My sell signal will either be when the company reaches a price/book ratio of 1, or when I've held the stock for 5 years, whichever comes first.

This month I bought:

Pendragon at 8p, market cap 62M, PB 0.15. This is a car dealership network and it's been pretty beat up in this recession.

Ennstone at 16.47p, market cap 81M, PB 0.4. This is a construction and materials company and has not surprisingly lost a lot of value recently.
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